A win next week would clinch a playoff berth. Tier I: 70% or better playoff odds. Filed under NFL. Seattle is the second most-improved team in the rankings, only being outdone by New Jersey. FiveThirtyEight predicts NFL playoffs and Super Bowl LVI odds. Elo’s straight-up record of picking winners is 64-26-1 on the year (10-4-1 in Week 6) or a 71 percent winning percentage. We released our forecast. Week 16 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. The 2022 NFL season is over. The Colts head into Week 16 with an 89 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight. 3, 2019, at 10:10 PM. And making predictions, whether we’re. 9 on 12 dropbacks with motion. By Neil Paine. The 6-5 Seahawks fell in a 40-34 defeat to the Raiders on Sunday. Scores. The Chiefs are No. Jan. The 2021 WNBA playoffs aren’t finished yet, but its regular season saw a gap of 392 points between the best and worst teams. 15, 2022. FiveThirtyEight's 2021 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. Lions Playoff Scenarios To Watch for in Week 18. Filed under NFL. 10 Oregon has 13. With the final AFC playoff spot up for grabs in Week 18, FiveThirtyEight has released its final playoff odds for the Dolphins, Patriots and Steelers entering the final weekend of the regular. Players eligible for leaderboards are those who have played in at least 70 percent of their team’s games and average at least 24 minutes per game (including stats from the regular season and playoffs). The Eagles Played Their A-Game, But The Chiefs Had Patrick Mahomes. 26, 2023. That probably reflects some good luck; historically, Elo ratings have. Daily Lines. Updated Nov. 05 total) Atlanta Falcons. New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady, left, and Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning after a game Sunday. Probability of winning the Super Bowl by rank (among playoff field) for the 2018 season and the average of the 1990-2017 seasons, according to FiveThirtyEight Elo ratings rank 2018 TeamIt’s hard to say whether this is an anomaly or part of a larger trend toward more randomness in the NFL playoffs. Check out the odds for all 32 teams to win Super Bowl LVII below. Stats. NFL (976 posts) NFL Playoffs (108) Philadelphia Eagles (87) Dallas Cowboys (84) NFL Slack Chat (78) New York Jets (38) Detroit Lions (33) NFL Quarterbacks (24) Las Vegas Raiders (14) NFL Playoff. MVP betting odds have undergone another shift as the NFL season heads into Week 9. . Josh Allen helped spearhead the effort. NFL predictions Can you outsmart our NFL forecasts? Unlikely to happen! That combination of outcomes occurs in <0. Playoff odds are also not much changed from last week: Green Bay saw its postseason chances improve the most. Design and development by Jay Boice. Until 2022, the highest preseason odds of any team in the playoff era belonged to 2018 Alabama, whose odds adjusted to 30. Sure, TCU Could Make The Playoff. 1. They have the Vikings: Odds to make the playoffs: 92%. That probably reflects some good luck; historically, Elo ratings have. The Lions were in a must-win scenario in Week 17 to keep their playoff chances alive. Every team in the AFC North is at least 5-3 this season, which has set the tone for the. Here are the 14 teams we are projecting to make the playoffs, plus every team's chances of getting in CBSSports. . Cincinnati Bengals (13-4) -- Division winner; Baltimore Ravens (12-5)* -- Wild-card team; Pittsburgh Steelers (9-8); Cleveland Browns (7-10) The Bengals have never been AFC North champs. You'd also get back your initial $100 stake, for a total of $250, back into your pocket. The early playoff picture continues to take shape as the focus shifts to NFL Week 6 action. 2023 NFL Predictions: Super Bowl LVIII, Playoff Picks, Award Winners and More From MMQB Staff Our writers and editors fill out their brackets and pick a champion. Unlike the previous week, when three of the top five. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The Eagles are listed at -20000 odds to get into the 2024 NFL playoffs. On Sunday, they squandered a chance to steal a win against the suddenly vulnerable Seattle Seahawks, losing 13-9 at home. UPDATED Feb. 100. 13, 2023, at 10:58 PM To give you a sense of the scale, the average NFL team always has an Elo rating of 1500, and the ratings usually range from 1700 on the high side to 1300 on the low end of the spectrum. Total. Find NFL odds and NFL spreads for upcoming games at FanDuel Sportsbook. m. Our platform offers NFL Sportsbook Odds, Betting Lines, Live Betting, and Point Spreads tailored to enhance your NFL betting experience. Teams. Thanksgiving Day NFL: Seahawks-49ers odds, picks, simsPractically Must-Win in Week 17 Seattle Seahawks . Six weeks into the season the AFC playoff picture has seemingly begun to form a shape already. So Seattle’s Elo rating is now 1755, ahead of New. Figures displayed are rounded to the nearest tenth, but placement along the line is based on unrounded RAPTOR or WAR values. Schedule. Elo. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. FiveThirtyEight expects Nets to lock up No. (13 teams didn't. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. joshua. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. FiveThirtyEight's 2018 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. After winning the National League pennant in seven games, the Arizona Diamondbacks are at to win it all. Elo’s straight-up record of picking winners is 64-26-1 on the year (10-4-1 in Week 6) or a 71 percent winning percentage. Fiesta Bowl: (3) TCU) 51, (2. Better. Let's take a look at each team's playoff odds. Schedule Standings Stats Teams Depth Charts Daily Lines More We tiered each team's likelihood of making the postseason, from the Super Bowl favorites to the No. Week 8 of the NFL season was rough for the Carolina Panthers. Every forecast update is based on 20,000 simulations of the remaining season. Below are Sporting News' predictions for the 2022 NFL playoffs, complete with fresh Super Bowl picks, as our NFL experts Vinnie Iyer, Bill. Patrick Mahomes Earned A Huge Raise. Depth Charts. The models continue to show a greater than 10 percentage point disagreement on the playoff odds of the Cincinnati Bengals (69 percent for Elo, 52 percent for Inpredictable), Carolina Panthers (24. There are seven teams clustered from 8-7 to 7-8, with odds as high as 36 percent (Chargers and Ravens) and as low as less than 0. The Giants’ current odds are 86%, while the Detroit Lions, currently on the outside looking in, are at 40%. Final record prediction: 9-8. Betting odds will continue to shift. Standings. Eagles: Eagles vs. 2 percentage points. Running back Marshawn Lynch of the Seattle Seahawks rushes against the Arizona Cardinals on Nov. Atlanta Falcons : Despite having a losing record, the 4-6 Falcons head into NFL Week 12 with +190 To Make The Playoffs odds. With six playoff teams coming out of each 16-team conference, the maximum possible value of the Gini. (-500) odds stand for $100 payoff on every $500 wagered at the. At the end of the season FiveThirtyEight’s model had accumulated 773. San Francisco 49ers-10000. NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 13, 2021: Model loving Colts and Broncos SportsLine's advanced model locked in its Week 13 NFL picks for every game on the NFL scheduleThe Texans opened this NFL season with +20,000 odds to win the Super Bowl. The model enters Super Wild Card Weekend in the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Depth Charts. NFL Week 12 futures betting odds: Super Bowl, MVP and more. 11h Mackenzie Kraemer. 4% chance of winning the 2023 Super Bowl, the third-lowest percentage of the teams remaining in the field. The Packers reached the playoffs. NFL MVP Odds 2023-24 Season. Only eight didn't receive a single vote. Pick. NFL Week 8 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. The model enters Super Wild Card Weekend in the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 69 total); Browns were +110 underdogs. On Sunday, the Green Bay Packers beat the New England Patriots, who had entered Week 13 ranked first in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. It’s a 54 percent favorite to make the playoffs, up from 38 percent last week. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. TB at IND. Super Bowl Odds: +6000. Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Dez Bryant warms up before a game against the New Orleans Saints in Dallas on Sunday. *The Blazers and Pelicans have identical projected records (34-48), but FiveThirtyEight gives New Orleans a 13 percent chance of making the playoffs, while Portland is at 6 percent. Oddsmakers are well aware: The Bulldogs opened as 13. Who will win the Super Bowl? Philadelphia Eagles, Kansas City Chiefs lead NFL playoff odds. FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. 2 and No. The Washington Commanders had a clear path to the playoffs ahead of Week 15. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. The Arizona Cardinals, Carolina. 1 seed in the AFC and have the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Chiefs. Plus: the sudden Bears collapse, Josh. It is also on a 22-10 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7. Dallas Cowboys-4000. Crunch time of the NFL season is right now. According to oddsmakers, if the Seahawks win this week their odds of making the playoffs would be 43%. Jets These NFL playoff odds can fluctuate on a weekly basis. L. The Buccaneers are sitting well with a 52% chance of making NFC champs and a 24% chance of making it to the Super Bowl. Washington players celebrate after defeating the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Dallas on Monday. The Browns will ultimately go as far as Deshaun Watson takes them in 2023. You can use these odds to help make your predictions on which teams have to best chances to win it all at the end of the season, or which teams will go over or under their season win totals. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. FiveThirtyEight's Ryan Best tweeted that the site will no longer support sports forecasts as a result of layoffs at Disney and ABC Sports. Rams (4-9) at Packers (5-8) — Monday 8:15 p. Schedule. The NFL is back, and so are FiveThirtyEight’s weekly Slack chats. 6 seed. 5%, too, according to FiveThirtyEight. Feb. Friday, January 27, 2023 It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. It. Design and development by Jay Boice and Rachael Dottle. Georgia – +250. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections. Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Accordingly, we’ve launched our 2021 MLB forecast model, with win totals and playoff odds that look a little bit more regular than they did going into 2020. 2. Running backs are not eligible, as different weights are used to construct their composite scores than wide receiver and tight end. With the final AFC playoff spot up for grabs in Week 18, FiveThirtyEight has released its final playoff odds for the Dolphins, Patriots and Steelers entering the final weekend of the regular. Design and development by Jay Boice. Week 13 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. The 2021 NFL season has been wild, and Week 13 certainly provided some more craziness. (13 teams didn't. 40 45 50 55 60 Division avg. Mike Tomlin. . Just six teams were unanimously picked to make the playoffs, while 24 teams (75% of the league) got at least one vote for a playoff spot. 59 last week. Last week, we referred to the presence of a “Big Three” in the NFL: the Seahawks, 49ers and Broncos. Filed under NFL. Additionally, if you are looking for real-time updated Playoff Odds, both 538 and Football Outsiders offer high. Buffalo Bills +164. Morry Gash / AP. Updated NFL playoff picture: AFC, NFC seed projections. Record, point differential, Pro-Football-Reference. The eyes of the college football world will be fixed on Ann. Here, we provide you with NFL Playoff predictions and who will hoist the Lombardi. Their Super Bowl chances have dropped from 7% to 0. But it could be a lot worse. Today, only days away from their final regular season matchup. The full 24-team field was revealed on Sunday, Nov. There are a few heavy favorites to reach the postseason, including the undefeated San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC and the defending. All 32 NFL team's 2022 Playoff Odds Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-750) (Bet $750 to win $100) There is a zero percent chance that Tom Brady would come out of retirement to lead this Tampa Bay team again. The Detroit Lions, New York Jets and Dallas Cowboys appear to be the biggest risers of the offseason. 5 on those plays. Only the Cardinals had worse implied chances. NFL playoff odds: Teams offering the most value. Eighteen teams still have a shot at the final eight spots,. As we get set for NFL Week 3, the early season playoff picture continues to come into focus. FanDuel BetMGM PointsBet -20000. This is a pretty standard and expected line for this game. 5 (-110) @ Jaguars. 49ers at Eagles. FanDuel Odds to Make Playoffs: +198 (33. Louis Rams on Thursday in St. GB at DET Thu 12:30PM. Detroit. Depth Charts. Everything you need to know for the NFL in Week 18, including bold predictions, key stats, playoff clinching scenarios and score picks. (10 by FanDuel), a paltry 23 percent chance at the playoffs (FanDuel with sixth-best odds), and a mere 1 percent crack at the title (FD against with sixth-best odds). 96. if the Chargers-Raiders game had ended differently, according to FiveThirtyEight’s prediction. Thanks for playing, and congratulations to Derek Truesdale, who finished with the most points this season. With the complete field. 1 seed in the 2021 NFL season (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire) Below are the TeamRankings 2021 NFL preseason predictions, including win/loss records, final standings, playoff odds and Super Bowl win odds for all 32 teams. Check back after this week’s games to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and. Also Read: Highest-paid college football coaches 2023: Nick Saban, Kirby Smart lead NCAA salaries. The Falcons aren’t among the 2023 Super Bowl favorites, and there’s really no reason to believe they should be at this point. ’s odds would drop precipitously: The Clips’ regular-season record would dip to 45-37 and their point differential to plus-1. Every team in the AFC North is at least 5-3 this season, which has set the tone for the. With eight of 18 weeks of the 2023-24 NFL season behind us, nine teams’ odds to earn one of 14 playoff spots are -350 or shorter across the board: the Chiefs, Eagles, 49ers, Lions, Dolphins. Stay up to date with the Current MLB Playoff odds and futures for the 2023 Baseball season. Stats. 11/22/2023. November 21, 2023. FiveThirtyEight predicts NFL playoffs and Super Bowl LVI odds. FiveThirtyEight's 2019 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. 5 would be 26-1 in their past. Buffalo Bills (13-3). 17, 2022, at 7:28 AM. In their last outing, the Bills won 37-3 over the. Odds. Pick Your Sportsbook. Let’s now focus on those two samples in isolation. Spread. The Super Bowl race might be a little “dull,” but the playoff race surely won’t be. FiveThirtyEight's 2017 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and. Super Bowl Odds: +6000. Illinois: There's an assumption that, because it's Illinois -- a program that in 2022 finished with a winning record in Big Ten play and eight or more wins for the first time since 2007 -- the. 15, 2023. Such teams are usually rare: From 2015-16 through 2021-22, our preseason forecast included, on average, 5. Tampa Bay Rays (99. Filed under NFL. 25% of. NFL (976 posts) Kansas City Chiefs (114) NFL Playoffs (108) Philadelphia Eagles (87) NFL Slack Chat (78) San Francisco 49ers (78) Cincinnati Bengals (49) Super Bowl LIII (16) Andy Reid (13) NFC. Standings. Win Division. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM 2022 MLB PredictionsFiveThirtyEight calculated game-by-game Elo ratings for every team in NFL history, over 30,000 ratings in total. My ESPN colleague Gregg Easterbrook wrote this week about the inequities of the NFL playoff system. 01 to 1. New York Times Playoff Simulator Lets Fans Test Out Playoff Scenarios. Design and development by Jay Boice. With a 23% chance at the playoffs, that puts the Rams 19th in the NFL. It would also greatly improve their playoff odds: New Orleans jumps up to 24% in FiveThirtyEight’s model with a win this week, reflecting how much more competitive they would be in. Week 8 of the NFL season was rough for the Carolina Panthers. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. 9, 2023. Kris Johnson 10-26-2023 • 3 min read AP Photo The ups and downs of any pro football season can make betting on NFL teams to make the playoffs an 18-week roller-coaster ride. The Packers are attempting to duplicate their run from 2016 when they won six straight to grab the NFC North and back their way into the postseason. The setting of the playoff field has solidified the odds for each of the 14 postseason teams to hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy. . Cleveland Browns. If you choose the Pittsburgh Penguins to win with odds of +200, a winning wager would return you $300 (your original $100 bet plus the +200 odds). The Cardinals are 2-8 following a home win over the Falcons on Sunday. The Gini coefficient for NFC playoff probabilities increased from 0. Daily Lines. 12, 2023, at 10:17 PM 2022. 5% Reason for hope: Josh Allen. See odds, expert picks and TV Schedule for Game 3 of the 2023 Stanley Cup Final. The Cowboys still have a 30% chance of making the NFC. Like squeezing a balloon, if one team’s playoff chances decline, other teams’ chances expand. The Chiefs And Eagles Made The Super Bowl With Grit, Talent, Heart And (Yes) Luck. I'm. 1 percent (Broncos). 0. Against the Chargers, he had a QBR of just 29. 3 pick in the NFL Draft. When reading NFL odds, a negative number (-) by a team’s name means they are favored to win. 2023 NFL predictions: AFC East gauntlet might take down Bills, Jets. Keep in mind Washington currently has a half-game lead over Detroit but faces a more difficult schedule than the Lions down the stretch. Daily Lines. Stanley Cup odds: 39 percent Why they can win: To put it simply, the 2022-23 Bruins have had the greatest regular season in the history of the NHL , which has existed in one form or another since. In 2009, the Lions got all the way down to a rating of 1223. The deluge of. . Other clubs, such as the Cincinnati Bengals, have moved. Miami’s playoff odds dropped by 14 percentage points following Sunday night’s 23-17 loss to the Chargers, per FiveThirtyEight, but really the decline is even steeper than that. 2022-23 NBA Predictions Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live. NFL team playoff odds for 2023-24. Play the game As a weekly. Browns Betting Insights The Browns have put together a 6-3-1 record against the spread. 13, 2022, at 10:03 PM 2021. A similar story is told with Houston,. Feb. FPI chances to make playoffs: 98. Josh Allen helped spearhead the effort. The NFL is the king of parity, especially with the expanded playoff field. 0. Playoff odds are also not much changed from last week: Green Bay saw its postseason chances improve the most. 2, 2021, at 11:36 PM 2021 MLB PredictionsThe Allstate Playoff Predictor breaks down which teams have the best chance to make this season's College Football Playoff. 5 points (25) Moneyline: Ravens win as -130 favorites (bet $10 to win $17. 8% implied odds of breaking their NFL-work 12-season postseason drought. More:. 12, 2023, at 10:17 PM 2022. 5 sacks. For example, if the Minnesota Vikings are listed at -130, you must bet $130 to turn a $100 profit on a Vikings win. College Football Playoff according to FiveThirtyEight’s College. 01% as they just started climbing their way back to a . All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook. 14, 2023, at 7:14 AM. All teams with at least a 5 percent chance to make the 2021 College Football Playoff (according to the FiveThirtyEight model), with the remaining games that swing their playoff odds the most Most. It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. NO at ATL Sun 1:00PM. The rivals squared off a third time in the playoffs, with the result mirroring the first two. May 2, 2023. The Philadelphia Eagles, Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers have the best chance of making the playoffs. The spreadsheet I used to track 30 models and 3 data sources to outsmart FiveThirtyEight at its own NFL predictions game How FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Predictions Game Works. UPDATED Feb. Bills' Rapp (neck) exits in. FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament forecasting models calculate the chance of each team reaching each round. By Alex Kirshner. 5)The Chiefs are currently listed as the favorites to win Super Bowl 58 with +500 odds. Los Angeles Chargers » The Los Angeles Chargers (4-6). 0% FPI chances to win division: 96. A win next week would clinch a playoff berth. 99%, but the odds are very small. FiveThirtyEight predicts NFL playoffs and Super Bowl LVI odds. Losses. Given their standing in the division and the games remaining, the simulator thinks the Chargers have about a 47 percent chance of making the playoffs, represented by the large number at the top. It's a loaded schedule, with 14 playoff rematches from last season, the most in a season in NFL history (per ESPN Stats & Information research). W. 13, 2023. Eagles. Click the button below to take your shot. We played out one of our Football Power Index's 20,000 season sims, from Week 1 through Super Bowl LVIII, with playoff races, surprises and more. Football’s toughest division is the AFC. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Seattle is doing amazing to be where they are in the rankings. com. Filed under NFL. 3 of 9 4 of 9 San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) passes against the Dallas Cowboys during the first half of an NFL wild-card playoff football game in Arlington, Texas, Sunday. One of those games is Eagles at Chiefs in Week 11. Jared Goff threw for over 250 yards and three touchdowns, and Jamaal Williams put up nearly 150. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. FiveThirtyEight's Ryan Best tweeted that the site will no longer support sports forecasts as a result of layoffs at Disney and ABC Sports. Let's evaluate last season's playoff teams and rate their chances of making it back in January. Week 13. Seattle Seahawks. These two teams have to be among the most difficult to. The 2022 NFL playoffs are advancing to the Divisional round this weekend. Click the button below to take your shot. The Eagles won 38-7. FILE—CeeDee Lamb of the Dallas Cowboys avoids a tackle from Tay Gowan of the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on. (13 teams didn't. FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. Preseason favorites, including the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, remain in fantastic shape as far as the odds are concerned. Lamar Jackson, The Browns And Slime Won The NFL’s Wild-Card Weekend. The biggest effects came in terms of playoff chances, where six teams saw their odds of making the postseason rise by double-digit percentage points — a group headlined by the Boston Red Sox and. In 2022, seven of the 12 playoff teams didn’t make the postseason in the year prior, and seven playoff teams from 2021 failed to qualify this. Average difference between points won by readers and by Elo in Week 11 matchups in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL prediction game. Rookies. For example, if the Minnesota Vikings are listed at -130, you must bet $130 to turn a $100 profit on a Vikings win. NFL Betting Odds To Make Playoffs - Which Teams Will Make the NFL Playoffs?. A win over the Cardinals would increase those odds to 98 percent; a loss would decrease. By Josh Planos. 49ers over/under: 45. The perception after the NFL’s fourth. 1-8. Better. NFL Week 9 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. A win on the road would send the Saints into their bye week at 5-8, about half a game behind the Buccaneers (who would have a higher winning percentage at 5-7). Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning, left, and San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick during a game. Here's a look at live odds on NFL teams to make the playoffs on the best sports betting apps: Bet NFL Now: Best NFL Betting Promos & Bonuses . Check out the 2023 NFL playoff odds for every team, along with our top picks. In other words, unless something miraculously happens, like a host of ties across the league over the next two. Seventeen teams have a 73% and 15% chance of making the playoffs. Georgia Bulldogs: -360 (bet $10 to win $12. 20)Nov. odds to make NFL Playoffs. FiveThirtyEight's 2016 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning Super Bowl LI. The Cincinnati Bengals (5-5) lost to the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday, lowering their chances of making the playoffs to 16 percent. According to the latest odds, the Chiefs continue to be the favorite on the AFC side, while three teams top the charts in the NFC: Eagles, Lions, and 49ers. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and. 3%) Biggest strength: Offensive depth. NFL playoff odds: Teams offering the most value. Anyway. Teams. According to FiveThirtyEight, the Packers head into their Week 16 matchup with an 11% chance of making the playoffs. Some of the usual Super Bowl contenders from. This week, there are even more so. Total weighted change in playoff odds: 100. Los Angeles changes the NFL playoff picture. FiveThirtyEight's 2015 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning Super Bowl 50.